One reasonable compromise model between these two perspectives is to tie the discount rate to the predicted amount of change that will happen at a given point of time. This could lead to a continuously increasing discounting rate for years that lead up to and include AGI, but then eventually a falling discounting rate for later years as technological progress becomes relatively saturated
Yeah, this is roughly the kind of thing I would suggest if one wants to stay within the discount rate framework.
Yeah, this is roughly the kind of thing I would suggest if one wants to stay within the discount rate framework.