So, after I read this comment I left thinking that Reserve performed exceptionally poorly, but it seems that almost all cryptocurrencies have gone down about the same amount since June 19th (the time of Reserve’s launch, from what I can tell). Here are some random currencies that I clicked on, on the coinmarketcap website that you linked. This is a comprehensive list, so I report the price change since June 19th for every currency that I looked at:
June 19th price: $416
Price now: $244
June 19th price: $0.448
Price now: $0.25
June 19th price: $135
Price now: $55
June 19th price: $100
Price now: $58
You are also incorrect that Bitcoin has returned 1% over the same time period. On June 19th, the price of Bitcoin was $9273, and it now is $8027. So while you are correct that Bitcoin went down significantly less than Reserve, it performed drastically better than almost all other cryptocurrencies, and still went down by about 13%.
I don’t think Reserve is overall a super great idea, but I think the statistics you cited seem misleading to me, and it seems that Reserve overall is performing similarly to the rest of the non-Bitcoin crypto-market.
I am confused by this. I consider it a key responsibility of the meta fund to independently fund community building grants, and this is a major update downwards on the value of the meta fund for me.
I would strongly urge you to consider investing more into evaluating and vetting community-building grants. I don’t think it’s healthy for CEA to be the only funder in this space.
The largest grant (accounting for nearly a quarter of all EA Community funding) went to a project run by CEA’s former Director of Strategy.
Just as a more transparent reference, this refers to a grant to me and the LessWrong team to build the new LessWrong and EA Forum platforms. It’s correct that we are located in the Bay Area, but importantly LessWrong and the EA Forum itself are not specific to a geographic location, and I actually think of them as key parts of having more distributed community-building infrastructure.
It’s also important because there has been very little investment in Bay-Area EA community building in the past few years, even though it is one of the biggest EA hubs, and I don’t want people to think this grant helped much with that. We do sometimes run events, but we are first and foremost an online-community building organization.
I also find it important to point out that I was the director of strategy for CEA US, not all of CEA. At the time I was at CEA the organization was much less integrated and I think CEA at the time was better modeled as two organizations, both of which were much smaller than CEA is now.
Thanks for pinging me!
I am still pretty swamped (being in the middle of both another LTFF grant round and the SFF grant round), and since I think a proper response to the above requires writing quite a bit of text, it will probably be another two weeks or so.
I think this is a good question. I am currently on a team retreat, so likely won’t get to this until next week (and maybe not then because I will likely be busy catching up with stuff). If I haven’t responded in 10 days, please feel free to ping me.
Yes, that is correct. Audible and Amazon have country settings that you have to change when you move. This article should cover how to change the amazon one:
This seems about a factor of 2 lower than I expected. My guess would be that this just includes the actual cost of fixing formatting errors, not the cost of fitting your ideas to fit the formatting at all (i.e. having to write all the different sections, even when it doesn’t make sense, or being forced to use LaTeX in the first place).
(Note: I did not yet get around to reading the paper, so this is just a first impression, as well as registering a prediction)
I had the same problem, for me it turned out to be caused by Amazon and audible separately keeping track of the country in which my account was registered. I can imagine that you are running into the same problem, since you relatively recently moved to the UK (at least if I remember correctly).
My (relatively weak and mostly intuitive) sense is that automation of labor and surrounding legislation has become a pretty polarized issue on which rational analysis has become quite difficult, so I don’t think this seems like a good counterexample.
A cynical interpretation of the tweet is that we learned that Bostrom has one (maxed out) donor who likes Bostrom.
Presumably should say “that Yang has one (maxed out) donor who likes Bostrom”
Making AI Alignment into a highly polarized partisan issue would be an obvious one.
This is great, and I think these counterpoints are valuable to read for anyone interested in this topic. I disagree with sections of this (and sometimes agree but just think the balance of considerations plays out differently), and will try to find the time to respond to this in more detail in at least the coming weeks.
Oh, interesting. LessWrong always had that, and I never even thought about that maybe being a configuration difference between the two sites.
My sense is mostly (1), with maybe some additional disagreement over what online contributions are actually a sign of competence. But usually I am quite excited when an active online contributor applies.
I share your perspective that I am most excited about people who participate in AI Alignment discussion online, but we’ve received relatively few applications from people in that reference class.
Some of the people we’ve given grants to, were the result of Alex Zhu doing a lot of networking with people who are interested in AI alignment, which tends to select on some slightly different things, but given the lack of applications from people with a history of contributing online, that still seems pretty good to me.
This is a bit hard to answer for me, because there are three grants that I was quite excited about that we didn’t end up making, that I think were more valuable than many of the grants we did end up making, so maybe a different grant member should answer this question.
If I exclude those three grants, I think there were grants we didn’t fund that are about as good as the ones we funded, at least from my personal perspective.
It’s harder for me to give an answer “from the perspective of the whole fund”, but I would still be surprised if the next grant would have a marginal cost-effectiveness of less than 90% of the marginal grant this round, though I think these things tend to be pretty high variance, so probably only 60% of the average grant this round.
I haven’t looked super much into the literature on this so I might be wrong, my sense was that it was more of a case of “lots of therapeutic techniques share a lot of structure, and Gendlin formalized it into a specific technique, but a lot of them share a lot of structure with what Gendlin is doing”, which makes sense, because that’s how focusing was developed. From the Wikipedia article:
Gendlin developed a way of measuring the extent to which an individual refers to a felt sense; and he found in a series of studies that therapy clients who have positive outcomes do much more of this. He then developed a way to teach people to refer to their felt sense, so clients could do better in therapy. This training is called ‘Focusing’. Further research showed that Focusing can be used outside therapy to address a variety of issues.
The thing that made me more comfortable saying the above was that Gendlin’s goal (judging from the focusing book I read and the audiobook I listened to) seems to have been in significant parts a study into “what makes existing therapeutic techniques work”, instead of “let’s develop a new technique that will revolutionize therapy”, so even if a school of therapy isn’t downstream of Gendlin, you expect a good fraction to still have focusing-like things in them, since Gendlin seemed to be more interested in refining techniques instead of revolutionizing them.
I do agree that I should probably stop using words like “significant fraction”. I intended to mean something like 20%-30% of therapy sessions will likely include something that is pretty similar to focusing, even if it isn’t exactly called that, which still seems roughly right to me and matches with my own experience of therapy with a practitioner who specialized in CBT and some trauma-specific therapies, but our actual sessions weren’t really utilizing either of those schools and were basically just focusing sessions, which to that therapist seemed like the natural thing to do in the absence of following a more specific procedure.
Some of my impression here also comes from two textbooks I read on therapy whose names I currently forgot, both of which were mostly school-independent and seemed to emphasize a lot of focusing-like techniques.
However, I don’t have super strong models here, and a significant fraction of my models are downstream of Gendlin’s own writing (who as I said seems to describe focusing more as “the thing that makes most type of therapy work”), so I am pretty open to being convinced I am wrong about this. I can particularly imagine that Freudian approaches could do less focusing, since I’ve basically not interacted with anything in that space and feel kinda averse to it, so I am kind of blind to a significant fraction of the therapy landscape.
Making it unchangeable also seems reasonable to me, or at least making it so that you can no longer strong-upvote your own comments.
Strong-upvoting your own posts seems reasonable to me (and is also the current default behavior)
Yeah, you can add lots of additional fields. It also has like 100 options for changing the algorithm (including things like changing the importance of spelling errors in search, and its eagerness to correct them), so playing around with that might make sense.
Thank you! :)