Ah, sorry, I thought you were making the first-order wager argument (Q3 here), but IIUC you’re making a metanormative wager argument as Toby suggested. I discuss why I’m unconvinced of that here. (And as another commenter pointed out, this is supplemented by “Why cluelessness matters” in the OP.)
Ah, sorry, I thought you were making the first-order wager argument (Q3 here), but IIUC you’re making a metanormative wager argument as Toby suggested. I discuss why I’m unconvinced of that here. (And as another commenter pointed out, this is supplemented by “Why cluelessness matters” in the OP.)