I suspect some people have a good sense of the extent to which AI regulation would be extraterritorialized and what that depends on, and some people have a good sense of the extent to which labs can effectively hop regulatory jurisdictions and what that depends on. If you know, please let me know!
One thing it probably depends on is regulation around (mega-sized) data centers and where they are located. Konstantin Pilz wrote a report on data centers which points out some geographical and economical constraints on where it makes sense to build them at scale. For instance, outside the US, maybe Canada or Mexico would be good options (but other countries as well). (I’m not sure if it’s necessary for much of lab infrastructure to be right next to a mega-sized data center, or if data can be handled remotely, but even if you’re moving your lab to some other location, you need to figure out the compute availability somewhere.)
I’d imagine it to be somewhat likely for Canada to follow US legislation if it seems reasonably motivated and if the US puts in an effort to make it happen; I’m more uncertain about US influence on other jurisdictions.
One thing it probably depends on is regulation around (mega-sized) data centers and where they are located. Konstantin Pilz wrote a report on data centers which points out some geographical and economical constraints on where it makes sense to build them at scale. For instance, outside the US, maybe Canada or Mexico would be good options (but other countries as well). (I’m not sure if it’s necessary for much of lab infrastructure to be right next to a mega-sized data center, or if data can be handled remotely, but even if you’re moving your lab to some other location, you need to figure out the compute availability somewhere.)
I’d imagine it to be somewhat likely for Canada to follow US legislation if it seems reasonably motivated and if the US puts in an effort to make it happen; I’m more uncertain about US influence on other jurisdictions.