Yes they do update me to a higher risk of human to human spread. Human to human spread however has happened a number of times before, yet has never got out of hand. This pattern over the last 10 years. could perhaps update us towards a smaller risk of highly contageous spread between humans.
Of course we should take this seriously, and we may well not be taking it seriously enough right now. Knowing the history of a disease is important though, as this is not a new disease and is more likely to follow past trends than new noes.
Full agree! A track record of human-to-human spread with limited transmissibility is an update against a change in that area, and a new event of rapid mink-to-mink spread is an update for. Not sure how to balance them out mathematically, but it’s important to keep both in mind.
Yes they do update me to a higher risk of human to human spread. Human to human spread however has happened a number of times before, yet has never got out of hand. This pattern over the last 10 years. could perhaps update us towards a smaller risk of highly contageous spread between humans.
Of course we should take this seriously, and we may well not be taking it seriously enough right now. Knowing the history of a disease is important though, as this is not a new disease and is more likely to follow past trends than new noes.
Full agree! A track record of human-to-human spread with limited transmissibility is an update against a change in that area, and a new event of rapid mink-to-mink spread is an update for. Not sure how to balance them out mathematically, but it’s important to keep both in mind.