From a brief glance, it does appear that Founders Pledge’s work is far more analogous to typical longtermist EA grantmaking than Givewell. Ie. it relies primarily on heuristics like organiser track record and higher-level reasoning about plans.
it relies primarily on heuristics like organiser track record and higher-level reasoning about plans.
I think this is mostly correct, with the caveat that we don’t exclusively rely on qualitative factors and subjective judgement alone. The way I’d frame it is more as a spectrum between
From a brief glance, it does appear that Founders Pledge’s work is far more analogous to typical longtermist EA grantmaking than Givewell. Ie. it relies primarily on heuristics like organiser track record and higher-level reasoning about plans.
I think this is mostly correct, with the caveat that we don’t exclusively rely on qualitative factors and subjective judgement alone. The way I’d frame it is more as a spectrum between
[Heuristics] <------> [GiveWell-style cost-effectiveness modelling]
I think I’d place FP’s longtermist evaluation methodology somewhere between those two poles, with flexibility based on what’s feasible in each cause