Dr. Schoenegger shared the following about the research the tournament supported:
I wanted to thank all of you for your hard work in this tournament! It was really amazing to follow the forecasts and discussions over the past few months (even though I, at times, really wanted to jump in and forecast myself)!
We used the forecasts you generated in two academic studies, where we presented a report made up of of your forecasts to two samples of decision-makers who were forecasting on questions that were directly connected to but distinct from those asked in the tournament. While I am not yet able to share results as we are still in the analysis phase, I can tell you that we wouldn’t have been able to study this in such a thorough way without the actual tournament data you provided, so thank you!
And last but not least, congratulations to the winners!
You can find more details about the research shared by Dr. Schoenegger here. You can also see more details and the full leaderboard for the Global Pulse Tournament here.
Metaculus: Winners of the Global Pulse Tournament + Forecaster Impact
The Global Pulse Tournament has concluded: Forecasters contributed to two academic studies conducted by Dr. Philipp Schoenegger, Associate Professor Barbara Fasolo, and Associate Professor Matteo Galizzi, all at the Behavioural Lab at the London School of Economics.
Congratulations to the top three winners:
skmmcj – $233
datscilly – $231
SpottedBear – $110
Dr. Schoenegger shared the following about the research the tournament supported:
You can find more details about the research shared by Dr. Schoenegger here. You can also see more details and the full leaderboard for the Global Pulse Tournament here.