Nice! Thanks Saul. Prize Pool is now removed from the header (though the commenting prize continues). The reason why I don’t put the commenting prize in the Prize Pool field, if you’re curious, is because it would then automatically generate “takes” for participants per forecasting performance, when the prize is for comments.
christian
Karma: 993
POTUS Predictions Tournament
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Build a Metaculus Forecasting Bot in 30 Minutes: A Practical Guide
Winners of the Forecast With GiveWell Series
The State of Metaculus
AI Forecasting Benchmark: Congratulations to Q4 Winners + Q1 Practice Questions Open
Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3, $25k, Opportunities
Forecast 2025 With Vox’s Future Perfect Team — $2,500 Prize Pool
Hey Austin, that’s so generous and really appreciated. Let me get with our Programs team, and I’ll be back to you.
Forecast With GiveWell
Hey Ozzie, I’ll add that it’s also a brand new post. But yes, your feedback is/was definitely appreciated.
Metaculus Is Open Source
‘Scale is All You Need’ — Writeup of a Synthetic Biology Workshop With the Astera Institute & Metaculus
Metaculus’s ‘Minitaculus’ Experiments — Collaborate With Us
Metaculus introduces ‘Changed my mind’ button
This short take is a linkpost for this Discussion Post by Metaculus’s Technical Product Manager
Do you sometimes read a comment so good that you revise your whole world model and start predicting the opposite of what you believed before?
Do you ever read a comment and think “Huh. Hadn’t thought of that.” and then tweak your prediction by a few percentage points?
Do you ever read a comment so clearly wrong that you update in the opposite direction?
Do you ever wish you could easily tell other forecasters that what they share is valuable to you?
Do you ever want to update you prediction right after reading a comment, without getting RSI in your scrolling finger?
Did a comment change your mind? Give Metaculus’s new ‘Changed my mind’ button a click!
And for binary questions, clicking the button lets you update your prediction directly from the comment.
@Austin & @Saul Munn — all approved, and we’ve recalculated the new $2250 prize pool. Thank you both for your generosity!