Winners of the China and Global Cooperation Tournament
The China and Global Cooperation Tournament has ended, thank you to everyone who forecasted! Here are the top three finishers:
twsummer – $687
Ab5A8bd20V – $194
Inertia – $80
The China and Global Cooperation Tournament featured questions related to the future of China and its role in the world stage. Participants forecasted on questions such as the global uptake of China’s currency, the number of Japanese Air Force responses to Chinese aircraft, and the combined market cap of large Chinese companies.
Metaculus introduces ‘Changed my mind’ button
This short take is a linkpost for this Discussion Post by Metaculus’s Technical Product Manager
Do you sometimes read a comment so good that you revise your whole world model and start predicting the opposite of what you believed before?
Do you ever read a comment and think “Huh. Hadn’t thought of that.” and then tweak your prediction by a few percentage points?
Do you ever read a comment so clearly wrong that you update in the opposite direction?
Do you ever wish you could easily tell other forecasters that what they share is valuable to you?
Do you ever want to update you prediction right after reading a comment, without getting RSI in your scrolling finger?
Did a comment change your mind? Give Metaculus’s new ‘Changed my mind’ button a click!
And for binary questions, clicking the button lets you update your prediction directly from the comment.