I would similarly be interested to see cases where we thought “X technology doesn’t have a future (due to competitor technology Y and/or physical limitation Z)” only to later discover/invent something that makes an altered form of X viable.
I too would be interested in this, as a reference class. I think it would be a strategically important update for us if we were to conclude that there’s a decent chance human-level AI or aging or cultured meat(or for that matter transmutation) is scientifically but not economically viable in the current form, but an entirely different route of getting there eventually becomes economically viable decades later.
I too would be interested in this, as a reference class. I think it would be a strategically important update for us if we were to conclude that there’s a decent chance human-level AI or aging or cultured meat(or for that matter transmutation) is scientifically but not economically viable in the current form, but an entirely different route of getting there eventually becomes economically viable decades later.