something like the objective chances of the thing actually happening, irrespective of anyone’s beliefs
Yeah, I think that if you stare at the second one, it doesn’t seem that decision relevant. E.g., a coin which is either heads or tails is 100% heads with 50% probability and 100% tails with 50% probability.
And if some important decision depended on whether it was heads or tails you might not wait and find out.
Yeah, I think that if you stare at the second one, it doesn’t seem that decision relevant. E.g., a coin which is either heads or tails is 100% heads with 50% probability and 100% tails with 50% probability.
And if some important decision depended on whether it was heads or tails you might not wait and find out.