But then again I’m worried that once we allow for all these conceivable events that we can’t figure out much about to have positive probability, we’re opening the floodgates for an ever-more-extreme apportionment of resources to lower-and-lower probability catastrophes.
I don’t have the scheme on the top of my head, but this doesn’t seem right. If you assign probability 0, you would take any odds, and so I could make a lot of money when you eventually shift to a non-zero probability.
I don’t have the scheme on the top of my head, but this doesn’t seem right. If you assign probability 0, you would take any odds, and so I could make a lot of money when you eventually shift to a non-zero probability.