This is the exact type of reasoning that would cause someone intuitively to think that space settlements are important—it’s clearly a thing that increases the anti-fragility of humanity, even if you don’t have exact models of the threats that it may help against. By increasing anti-fragility, you’re increasing the ability to face unknown threats. Certainly, you can get into specifics, and you can realize it doesn’t make you as anti-fragile as you thought, but again, it’s very easy to miss some other specifics that are unknown unknowns and totally reverse your conclusion.
This will be a good argument if Musk built and populated Antarctica bunkers before space.
It’s pretty clear that being multiplanetary is more anti-fragile? It provides more optionality, allows for more differentiation and evolution, and provides stronger challenges.
I agree it provides stronger challenges. I think I disagree with the other claims as presented, but the sentence is not detailed enough for me to really know if I actually disagree.
This will be a good argument if Musk built and populated Antarctica bunkers before space.
It’s pretty clear that being multiplanetary is more anti-fragile? It provides more optionality, allows for more differentiation and evolution, and provides stronger challenges.
I agree it provides stronger challenges. I think I disagree with the other claims as presented, but the sentence is not detailed enough for me to really know if I actually disagree.