In theory, this seems important and worth considering. Another effect that might pull in the opposite direction:
As we learn more about effective causes we are able to identify more effective solutions/issue areas.
It’s not obvious which effect (or something else) will dominate. One way we might be able to acertain the answer to this is to look at the effectiveness of Givewell’s top charities across time. My understanding is this hasn’t moved much, but also that their definitions of “life saved” has changed across time. Unsure which direction that might affect things.
In theory, this seems important and worth considering. Another effect that might pull in the opposite direction:
As we learn more about effective causes we are able to identify more effective solutions/issue areas.
It’s not obvious which effect (or something else) will dominate. One way we might be able to acertain the answer to this is to look at the effectiveness of Givewell’s top charities across time. My understanding is this hasn’t moved much, but also that their definitions of “life saved” has changed across time. Unsure which direction that might affect things.
Yep, agreed. Good point