What you describe in your first paragraph sounds to me like a good updating strategy, except I would say that you’re not updating your “natural independent opinion,” you’re updating your all-things-considered belief.
Related short posts I recommend—the first explains the distinction I’m pointing at, and the second shows how things can go wrong if people don’t track it:
What you describe in your first paragraph sounds to me like a good updating strategy, except I would say that you’re not updating your “natural independent opinion,” you’re updating your all-things-considered belief.
Related short posts I recommend—the first explains the distinction I’m pointing at, and the second shows how things can go wrong if people don’t track it:
‘Independent impressions’
‘When reporting AI timelines, be clear who you’re deferring to’