That makes sense—I understood that you all were expressing credences. I think my comment wasn’t written very clearly. I’m interested in what process you all took to reach these credences, and what you think the appropriate use of them would be. Would these numbers be the numbers you’d use in a cost-effectiveness analysis, etc.? Or a starting point to decide how to weigh further evidence, etc? I know credences are a bit fuzzy as a general concept, but I guess I’d love thoughts on the appropriate use of these numbers (outside your response that we shouldn’t use them or should only use them very carefully).
Thanks Jason!
That makes sense—I understood that you all were expressing credences. I think my comment wasn’t written very clearly. I’m interested in what process you all took to reach these credences, and what you think the appropriate use of them would be. Would these numbers be the numbers you’d use in a cost-effectiveness analysis, etc.? Or a starting point to decide how to weigh further evidence, etc? I know credences are a bit fuzzy as a general concept, but I guess I’d love thoughts on the appropriate use of these numbers (outside your response that we shouldn’t use them or should only use them very carefully).