Well, this depends on what we are talking about, and what the alternatives are.
So for example, 80k hours’ ranking of careers is pretty great, and people do defer to it a whole lot, but they still make adjustments to it based on personal fit, personal values, etc. And you can imagine that as it gets better and better (e.g., as it gets more years poured into its development), the argument for deferring to it becomes more forceful.
That still doesn’t answer the question − 5 or 10 years from now, how do you know what the correct level of deference should be? And why do you expect it to approach 100% and not be bounded from above by something much smaller?
Well, this depends on what we are talking about, and what the alternatives are.
So for example, 80k hours’ ranking of careers is pretty great, and people do defer to it a whole lot, but they still make adjustments to it based on personal fit, personal values, etc. And you can imagine that as it gets better and better (e.g., as it gets more years poured into its development), the argument for deferring to it becomes more forceful.
That still doesn’t answer the question − 5 or 10 years from now, how do you know what the correct level of deference should be? And why do you expect it to approach 100% and not be bounded from above by something much smaller?