Is there anyone doing research from an EA perspective on the impact of Nigeria becoming a great power by the end of this century? Nigeria is projected to be the 3rd largest country in the world by 2100 and potentially appears to be having exponential growth in GDP per capita. I’m not claiming that it’s a likely outcome that Nigeria is a great power in 2100 but nor does it seem impossible. It isn’t clear to me that Nigeria has dramatically worse institutions than India but I expect India to be a great power by 2100. It seems like it’d be really valuable for someone to do some work on this given it seems really neglected.
I don’t know, but I think it would be great to look into.
There was a proposal to make a “Rising Powers” or “BRICS” tag, but the community was most interested in making one for China. I’d like to see more discussion of other rising powers, including the other BRICS countries.
I agree! I think there’s some issue here (don’t know if there’s a word for it) where maybe some critical mass of effort on foreign powers is focused on china, leaving other countries with a big deficit or something. I’m not sure what the solution here is, perhaps other than to make some kind of “the case for becoming a [country X] specialist” for a bunch of potentially influential countries.
Yeah that sounds right, I don’t even know how many people are working on strategy based around India becoming a superpower, which seems completely plausible.
Is there anyone doing research from an EA perspective on the impact of Nigeria becoming a great power by the end of this century? Nigeria is projected to be the 3rd largest country in the world by 2100 and potentially appears to be having exponential growth in GDP per capita. I’m not claiming that it’s a likely outcome that Nigeria is a great power in 2100 but nor does it seem impossible. It isn’t clear to me that Nigeria has dramatically worse institutions than India but I expect India to be a great power by 2100. It seems like it’d be really valuable for someone to do some work on this given it seems really neglected.
I don’t know, but I think it would be great to look into.
There was a proposal to make a “Rising Powers” or “BRICS” tag, but the community was most interested in making one for China. I’d like to see more discussion of other rising powers, including the other BRICS countries.
I agree! I think there’s some issue here (don’t know if there’s a word for it) where maybe some critical mass of effort on foreign powers is focused on china, leaving other countries with a big deficit or something. I’m not sure what the solution here is, perhaps other than to make some kind of “the case for becoming a [country X] specialist” for a bunch of potentially influential countries.
Yeah that sounds right, I don’t even know how many people are working on strategy based around India becoming a superpower, which seems completely plausible.