Thanks for this! I’m curious to better understand what you mean by Phase 1.5 work—do you have in mind work that aims to identify intermediate goals for the community (A) at a somewhat high level (e.g., “increase high-skill immigration to the US”) or (B) at a more tactical level (e.g., “lobby Senators to expand the optional practical training program”)? I’m a bit confused, since:
The phrasing used (“concrete plans”) seems to suggest (B).
But, as your related post and other writing suggest, at least on AI we seem to be bottlenecked by (A). So if Phase 1.5 is defined with (B), we don’t really know what Phase 1.5 work to do, which would suggest more of a need for earlier-phase work.
(Another way my confusion could be resolved is if you were including AI strategy and AI governance under AI alignment. Although then, “Lots of people are not well suited to AI alignment work” seems less true.)
I meant to include both (A) and (B) -- I agree that (A) is a bottleneck right now, though I think doing this well might include some reasonable fraction of (B).
Thanks for this! I’m curious to better understand what you mean by Phase 1.5 work—do you have in mind work that aims to identify intermediate goals for the community (A) at a somewhat high level (e.g., “increase high-skill immigration to the US”) or (B) at a more tactical level (e.g., “lobby Senators to expand the optional practical training program”)? I’m a bit confused, since:
The phrasing used (“concrete plans”) seems to suggest (B).
But, as your related post and other writing suggest, at least on AI we seem to be bottlenecked by (A). So if Phase 1.5 is defined with (B), we don’t really know what Phase 1.5 work to do, which would suggest more of a need for earlier-phase work.
(Another way my confusion could be resolved is if you were including AI strategy and AI governance under AI alignment. Although then, “Lots of people are not well suited to AI alignment work” seems less true.)
I meant to include both (A) and (B) -- I agree that (A) is a bottleneck right now, though I think doing this well might include some reasonable fraction of (B).