I strongly share John’s intuition that this is primarily an artefact of talking about desired temperature targets in the IPPC report rather than a change in the foci of the research that the IPCC reports on.
Would it be possible to test this by denoting which share of the 0-2 degree mentions are surrounded by words like “Paris Agreement”, “policy targets”, “ideally”, “well below” etc. (i.e. words that typically co-occur with the statement of the ambition of the Paris Agreement) . Or, alternatively, by focusing on the climate science & impact sections of the IPCC reports?
I strongly share John’s intuition that this is primarily an artefact of talking about desired temperature targets in the IPPC report rather than a change in the foci of the research that the IPCC reports on.
Would it be possible to test this by denoting which share of the 0-2 degree mentions are surrounded by words like “Paris Agreement”, “policy targets”, “ideally”, “well below” etc. (i.e. words that typically co-occur with the statement of the ambition of the Paris Agreement) . Or, alternatively, by focusing on the climate science & impact sections of the IPCC reports?
Good idea. I’ll look into this when I find the time and report back here.