Since the Doomsday Clock from the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists doesn’t have any clear methodology for why the clock advances or recedes, I am providing the Metaculus Doomsday Clock as an alternative. Currently the way it advances is by using the Metaculus median prediction of humanity going extinct by 2100 to determine how many minutes we are from midnight. It can be improved, so make suggestions in the comments.
Quantified Doomsday Clock
Context:
(source: Matthew Barnett’s Facebook wall)
Proposal: IFTTT-connected Doomsday-looking Doomsday Clock
Notes: Please contact me if interested in helping commercializing this; I have a few ideas and can fund the project.
Question: What would be a good name for it? Brainstroming:
Quantified Doomsday Clock
Quantum Doomsday Clock
Metaculus Doomsday Clock (pro: publicity for Metaculus; but important con IMO: inflexible and not future-proof as it becomes dependent on Metaculus)
Rather than 2100 can I suggest the next century? Otherwise we’d move away from midnight as we move toward 2100 - very counterintuitive
yeah good point, I agree; thanks!
https://aicountdown.com/ links to