Proposal: Track people’s beliefs over time, and what information gave them the biggest update.
Details: It could be done at the same time than the EA survey every year. And/or it could be a website that people continuously update.
Motivation: The goals are
1) to track which information is the most valuable so that more people consume it, and
2) see how beliefs evolve (which might be evidence in itself about which beliefs are true; although, I think most, including myself, wouldn’t think this was the strongest form of evidence). It could be that most people make a similar series of paradigm shifts over time, and knowing which ones might help speed things up.
Belief Network
Last updated: 2020-03-30
Category: group rationality; signal boosting
Proposal: Track people’s beliefs over time, and what information gave them the biggest update.
Details: It could be done at the same time than the EA survey every year. And/or it could be a website that people continuously update.
Motivation: The goals are
1) to track which information is the most valuable so that more people consume it, and
2) see how beliefs evolve (which might be evidence in itself about which beliefs are true; although, I think most, including myself, wouldn’t think this was the strongest form of evidence). It could be that most people make a similar series of paradigm shifts over time, and knowing which ones might help speed things up.
Alternative name: MindChange
What’s been done so far: Post on LessWrong What are some articles that updated your beliefs a lot on an important topic? The EA survey also tracks some high-level views, notably on cause prioritization.
Update:
Just saw a similar idea I had (I think 2 years ago).
A Chrome Extension and Plug In to measure changes to one’s world model and one’s behaviors.
Goal: Try to find the articles that are the most likely to update our map and/or behaviors.