We are very unsure on both counts! There are some Manifold Markets on the first question, though!
I do think articles wouldn’t necessarily need to be that long to be convincing to us, and this may be a consequence of Open Philanthropy’s thoroughness. Part of our hope for these prizes is that we’ll get a wider range of people weighing in on these debates (and I’d expect less length there).
Link doesn’t work for me. What does work for me is going to http://manifold.markets/ and searching “future fund”, it does work (and this gives me the exact URL that you linked, so I’m not sure why the link doesn’t work).
We are very unsure on both counts! There are some Manifold Markets on the first question, though!
I do think articles wouldn’t necessarily need to be that long to be convincing to us, and this may be a consequence of Open Philanthropy’s thoroughness. Part of our hope for these prizes is that we’ll get a wider range of people weighing in on these debates (and I’d expect less length there).
Link doesn’t work for me. What does work for me is going to http://manifold.markets/ and searching “future fund”, it does work (and this gives me the exact URL that you linked, so I’m not sure why the link doesn’t work).