I would also be extremely curious about how this estimate affects the author’s personal decision-making. For instance, are you avoiding major cities? Do you think that the risk is much lower on one side of the Atlantic? Would you advise for a thousand people to not travel to London to attend a conference due to the increased risk?
Peter says: No, I live in Washington, DC a few blocks from the White House, and I’m not suggesting evacuation at the moment because I think conventional conflict would precede nuclear conflict. But if we start trading bullets with Russian forces, odds of nuclear weapons use goes up sharply. And, yes, I do believe risk is higher in Europe than in the United States. But for the moment, I’d happily attend a conference in London.
I would also be extremely curious about how this estimate affects the author’s personal decision-making. For instance, are you avoiding major cities? Do you think that the risk is much lower on one side of the Atlantic? Would you advise for a thousand people to not travel to London to attend a conference due to the increased risk?
Peter says: No, I live in Washington, DC a few blocks from the White House, and I’m not suggesting evacuation at the moment because I think conventional conflict would precede nuclear conflict. But if we start trading bullets with Russian forces, odds of nuclear weapons use goes up sharply. And, yes, I do believe risk is higher in Europe than in the United States. But for the moment, I’d happily attend a conference in London.