I don’t think your argument reflects much on the importance of forecasting. E.g., it might be the case that forecasting is much more important than whatever experts are going (in absolute terms), but nonetheless, experts should do their things because no one else can substitute them. (To be clear, this is a hypothetical against the structure of the argument.)
I think it’s best to access the value of information you can get from forecasting directly.
Hopefully, we can make forecasts credible and communicate it to sympathetic experts on such teams.
I don’t think your argument reflects much on the importance of forecasting. E.g., it might be the case that forecasting is much more important than whatever experts are going (in absolute terms), but nonetheless, experts should do their things because no one else can substitute them. (To be clear, this is a hypothetical against the structure of the argument.)
I think it’s best to access the value of information you can get from forecasting directly.
Hopefully, we can make forecasts credible and communicate it to sympathetic experts on such teams.