This analysis seems to neglect all “net negative outcomes”, including scenarios in which s-risks are realized (as Mjeard noted), the badness of which can go all the way to the opposite extreme (see e.g. “Astronomical suffering from slightly misaligned artificial intelligence”).
Including that consideration may support a more general focus on ensuring a better quality of the future, which may also be supported by considerations related to grabby aliens.
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This analysis seems to neglect all “net negative outcomes”, including scenarios in which s-risks are realized (as Mjeard noted), the badness of which can go all the way to the opposite extreme (see e.g. “Astronomical suffering from slightly misaligned artificial intelligence”).
Including that consideration may support a more general focus on ensuring a better quality of the future, which may also be supported by considerations related to grabby aliens.