For example, forecast on the potential viability of cultured meat could have several actionable implications.
.m It might be something worth directly funding, particularly if we think that certain types of investment will have a strong impact on it’s like it would be successful. It also might be something to start investing in planning for in legal messaging communications et cetera.
Also, if we anticipate a massive global shift towards culture meat and thus away from factory farming it makes lobbying for factory farming reforms and corporate welfare of pledges somewhat less valuable.
This is much of the theory of impact/theory of change behind The Unjournal’s cultured meat pivotal questions, project and our upcoming workshop. We are working in some belief elicitation and some forecasting elements. However, it’s not clear whether these are situations in which the broad Wisdom of the Crowd adds a lot of value or whether it’s dependent on small groups of experts.
For example, forecast on the potential viability of cultured meat could have several actionable implications.
.m It might be something worth directly funding, particularly if we think that certain types of investment will have a strong impact on it’s like it would be successful. It also might be something to start investing in planning for in legal messaging communications et cetera.
Also, if we anticipate a massive global shift towards culture meat and thus away from factory farming it makes lobbying for factory farming reforms and corporate welfare of pledges somewhat less valuable.
This is much of the theory of impact/theory of change behind The Unjournal’s cultured meat pivotal questions, project and our upcoming workshop. We are working in some belief elicitation and some forecasting elements. However, it’s not clear whether these are situations in which the broad Wisdom of the Crowd adds a lot of value or whether it’s dependent on small groups of experts.
Also see Support Metaculus’ First Animal-Focused Forecasting Tournament which is something we are trying to support and we try to make sure that each of the forecasting questions has actionable value of information.