Support Metaculusâ First Animal-Focused Forecasting Tournament
Iâm putting together Metaculusâ first animal-focused forecasting tournament, and am reaching out to ask for your support in making this happen.
What is it?
This tournament will generate probabilistic forecasts on decision-relevant questions affecting animals, from alternative proteins and animal welfare policy to AI impacts and wild animal welfare. The goal is to help funders, researchers, and organizations in our community make more informed strategic decisions.
Why it matters
Most forecasters will be from outside the animal movement, bringing fresh perspectives to questions we care about. Better forecasts can lead to better prioritization of interventions and ultimately better outcomes for animals.
How you can help
Iâm raising funds on Manifund to create a prize pool that will incentivize quality forecasting. The minimum funding goal is $3,000, with an ideal goal of $15,000.
You can support here.
For more context, I previously posted a call for questions for this tournament.
Any support, whether funding or spreading the word, would be hugely appreciated! Very happy to answer any questions in the comments.
- 's comment on âHow much do plant-based prodÂucts subÂstiÂtute for anÂiÂmal prodÂucts and imÂprove welfare?â â An UnÂjourÂnal Pivotal QuesÂtion (upÂdate: added polls) by (4 Dec 2025 11:45 UTC; 2 points)
- 's comment on Is CulÂtured Meat ComÂmerÂcially ViÂable? UnÂjourÂnalâs first proÂposed âPivotal QuesÂtionâ (& reÂquest for feedÂback) by (4 Dec 2025 11:44 UTC; 2 points)
Unjournal.org is collaborating with this initiative for our Pivotal Questions projects:
Is Cultured Meat Commercially Viable? Unjournalâs first proposed âPivotal Questionâ (& request for feedback) and
âHow much do plant-based products substitute for animal products and improve welfare?â â An Unjournal Pivotal Question (update: added polls)
Aiming to integrate this with some of the questions in our community here
Feedback on these questions and operationalizations is highly appreciated.