But if you actually should press the button, and do so because you correctly understand why you should, then people shouldn’t learn the lesson “people will do wild crazy stuff out of misunderstandings or malice”, because that won’t be what happened.
Perhaps the idea is that it should be a symbolic reminder that trusted community members could do bad things, rather than evidence for that proposition?
This is closer, I think the framing I might have had in mind is closer to:
people underestimate the probability of tail risks.
I think one of the reasons why is that they don’t appreciate the size of the space of unknown unknowns (which in this case includes people pushing the button for reasons like this).
causing them to see something from the unknown unknown space is therefore useful.
I think last year’s phishing incident was actually a reasonable example of this. I don’t think many people would have put sufficiently high probability on it happening, even given the button getting pressed.
But if you actually should press the button, and do so because you correctly understand why you should, then people shouldn’t learn the lesson “people will do wild crazy stuff out of misunderstandings or malice”, because that won’t be what happened.
The lesson people I would want people to learn is “I might not have considered all the reasons people might do stuff”. See comment below.
Perhaps the idea is that it should be a symbolic reminder that trusted community members could do bad things, rather than evidence for that proposition?
This is closer, I think the framing I might have had in mind is closer to:
people underestimate the probability of tail risks.
I think one of the reasons why is that they don’t appreciate the size of the space of unknown unknowns (which in this case includes people pushing the button for reasons like this).
causing them to see something from the unknown unknown space is therefore useful.
I think last year’s phishing incident was actually a reasonable example of this. I don’t think many people would have put sufficiently high probability on it happening, even given the button getting pressed.