Perhaps the idea is that it should be a symbolic reminder that trusted community members could do bad things, rather than evidence for that proposition?
This is closer, I think the framing I might have had in mind is closer to:
people underestimate the probability of tail risks.
I think one of the reasons why is that they don’t appreciate the size of the space of unknown unknowns (which in this case includes people pushing the button for reasons like this).
causing them to see something from the unknown unknown space is therefore useful.
I think last year’s phishing incident was actually a reasonable example of this. I don’t think many people would have put sufficiently high probability on it happening, even given the button getting pressed.
Perhaps the idea is that it should be a symbolic reminder that trusted community members could do bad things, rather than evidence for that proposition?
This is closer, I think the framing I might have had in mind is closer to:
people underestimate the probability of tail risks.
I think one of the reasons why is that they don’t appreciate the size of the space of unknown unknowns (which in this case includes people pushing the button for reasons like this).
causing them to see something from the unknown unknown space is therefore useful.
I think last year’s phishing incident was actually a reasonable example of this. I don’t think many people would have put sufficiently high probability on it happening, even given the button getting pressed.