If you ask the AIs they get numbers in the tens of millions to tens of billions range, with around 1 billion being the central estimate. (I haven’t extensively controlled for the effect and some calculations appear driven by narrative)
Personally I find it hard to judge and tend to lean no when trying to think it through, but it’s not obviously nonsense.
If you ask the AIs they get numbers in the tens of millions to tens of billions range, with around 1 billion being the central estimate. (I haven’t extensively controlled for the effect and some calculations appear driven by narrative)
Personally I find it hard to judge and tend to lean no when trying to think it through, but it’s not obviously nonsense.