Good thought, I’ve cross-posted it to my account there.
This post was spurred by a conversation I had about the upper limit of AI intelligence and the fact that it was likely very far above all humans combined. This is meant as, like you said, a pretty unobjectionable support for my then assumed conclusion. The conversion was heavily influenced by Cotra’s Bioanchors report.
I was estimating the brains computation ability very roughly. I guessed that there would be more detailed estimations already done, but would take time to read through and understand their premises. I’ll read through the document when I have some time.
These two look interesting to read.
Anders Sandberg is an interesting person. I speculated someone had done calculations similar to mine, I’m not surprised that he is one of such people.
Yeah, your initial guess was right that more detailed estimations had already been done. I figured the reason you posted your rough BOTEC was to invite others to refer you to those more detailed estimates (saves time on your end via crowdsourcing too), since I’ve done the same as well in the past, hence the shares :) Happy reading
Hi Mo, thanks for the feedback.
Good thought, I’ve cross-posted it to my account there.
This post was spurred by a conversation I had about the upper limit of AI intelligence and the fact that it was likely very far above all humans combined. This is meant as, like you said, a pretty unobjectionable support for my then assumed conclusion. The conversion was heavily influenced by Cotra’s Bioanchors report.
I was estimating the brains computation ability very roughly. I guessed that there would be more detailed estimations already done, but would take time to read through and understand their premises. I’ll read through the document when I have some time.
These two look interesting to read.
Anders Sandberg is an interesting person. I speculated someone had done calculations similar to mine, I’m not surprised that he is one of such people.
Yeah, your initial guess was right that more detailed estimations had already been done. I figured the reason you posted your rough BOTEC was to invite others to refer you to those more detailed estimates (saves time on your end via crowdsourcing too), since I’ve done the same as well in the past, hence the shares :) Happy reading
An efficient idea, good thinking.