I’d be interested to hear a short explanation of why this seems like a different result from Leopold’s paper, especially the idea that it could be better to accelerate through the time of perils.
That talks about the effect of growth on existential risk; this analysis is explicitly not considering that. Here’s a paragraph from this post:
Could attempts to advance progress have some other kind of predictable effect on the shape of the curve of quality of life over time?[10] They might. For instance, they might be able to lengthen our future by bringing forward the moment we develop technologies to protect us from natural threats to our survival. This is an intriguing idea, but there are challenges to getting it to work: especially since there isn’t actually much natural extinction risk for progress to reduce, whereas progress appears to be introducing larger anthropogenic risks.[11] Even if the case could be made, it would be a different case to the one we started with — it would be a case based on progress increasing the duration of lived experience rather than its quality. I’d be delighted if such a revised case can be made, but we can’t just assume it.[12]
Leopold’s analysis is of this “revised case” type.
I’d be interested to hear a short explanation of why this seems like a different result from Leopold’s paper, especially the idea that it could be better to accelerate through the time of perils.
That talks about the effect of growth on existential risk; this analysis is explicitly not considering that. Here’s a paragraph from this post:
Leopold’s analysis is of this “revised case” type.
Thank you!