Also, even if one could say P(simulation | seems like HoH) >> P(not-simulation | seems like HoH), that wouldn’t be decision relevant, since t could just be that P(simulation) >> P(not-simulation) in either case. What matters is which observation (seems like HoH or not) renders it more likely that the observer is being simulated.
Also, even if one could say P(simulation | seems like HoH) >> P(not-simulation | seems like HoH), that wouldn’t be decision relevant, since t could just be that P(simulation) >> P(not-simulation) in either case. What matters is which observation (seems like HoH or not) renders it more likely that the observer is being simulated.