I think these arguments push against broad public advocacy work, in favor of more cautious efforts to target regulation well, and make sure that it’s thoughtful. Since I think we’ll likely get strong regulation by default, ensuring that the regulation is effective and guided by high-quality evidence should be the most important objective at this point.
Policymakers will adjust policy strictness in response to evidence about the difficulty of alignment. The important question is not whether the current level of regulation is sufficient to prevent future harm, but whether we have the tools to ensure that policies can adapt appropriately according to the best evidence about model capabilities and alignment difficulty at any given moment in time.
Two key points I want to add to this summary:
I think these arguments push against broad public advocacy work, in favor of more cautious efforts to target regulation well, and make sure that it’s thoughtful. Since I think we’ll likely get strong regulation by default, ensuring that the regulation is effective and guided by high-quality evidence should be the most important objective at this point.
Policymakers will adjust policy strictness in response to evidence about the difficulty of alignment. The important question is not whether the current level of regulation is sufficient to prevent future harm, but whether we have the tools to ensure that policies can adapt appropriately according to the best evidence about model capabilities and alignment difficulty at any given moment in time.