I’m curating this post.
Firstly because it makes a useful and well backed up point—that stable population estimates are a misleading input into your analyses.
Secondly because: We often extoll the values of pretty shallow fermi-estimate style analyses. This post is a helpful counter-weight against the BOTEC blasé: some inputs are uncertain enough that we should (a) investigate them further, even for a quick BOTEC and/​or (b) remember that the output of our analyses could change radically based on tweaking a few assumptions.Thanks Abraham and Mal!
I’m curating this post.
Firstly because it makes a useful and well backed up point—that stable population estimates are a misleading input into your analyses.
Secondly because: We often extoll the values of pretty shallow fermi-estimate style analyses. This post is a helpful counter-weight against the BOTEC blasé: some inputs are uncertain enough that we should (a) investigate them further, even for a quick BOTEC and/​or (b) remember that the output of our analyses could change radically based on tweaking a few assumptions.
Thanks Abraham and Mal!