Interesting, thanks so much for the thought. I think I agree that we’ll likely want to fund work in several (or all) of these fields. However, I expect some fields will be dramatically more exciting than others. It seems likely enough to me that 70% of the funding might be best in one of the mentioned intervention areas above, and that several would have less than 5% of the remaining amounts.
It could well be the case that more research would prove otherwise! Maybe 70% of the intervention areas listed would be roughly equal to each other. I think it’s a bit unlikely, but I’m not sure. This is arguably one good question for future researchers in the space to answer, and a reason why it could use more research.
If it were the case that the areas are roughly equal to each other, I imagine we’d then want more total prioritization research, because we couldn’t overlook any of them.
One obvious research project at this point would just be to survey a bunch of longtermists and get their take on how important/tractable each intervention area is.
Interesting, thanks so much for the thought. I think I agree that we’ll likely want to fund work in several (or all) of these fields. However, I expect some fields will be dramatically more exciting than others. It seems likely enough to me that 70% of the funding might be best in one of the mentioned intervention areas above, and that several would have less than 5% of the remaining amounts.
It could well be the case that more research would prove otherwise! Maybe 70% of the intervention areas listed would be roughly equal to each other. I think it’s a bit unlikely, but I’m not sure. This is arguably one good question for future researchers in the space to answer, and a reason why it could use more research.
If it were the case that the areas are roughly equal to each other, I imagine we’d then want more total prioritization research, because we couldn’t overlook any of them.
One obvious research project at this point would just be to survey a bunch of longtermists and get their take on how important/tractable each intervention area is.