I don’t think I only mean extinction risk. We could have say a nuclear war and it not cause us to go extinct, but it be sufficiently harmful as to significantly curtail our future potential.
Oh, yes, I should’ve had “extinction and unrecoverable collapse” on one side and “value lock-in / unrecoverable dystopia” on the other, rather than having only “extinction” on the first side. My mistake.
I also largely agree with the rest of your comment. I think value promotion will tend to pay off slower than many (though not all) other longtermist interventions, and that this is true of promoting philosophy in schools in particular (which is the key point for this post).
Oh, yes, I should’ve had “extinction and unrecoverable collapse” on one side and “value lock-in / unrecoverable dystopia” on the other, rather than having only “extinction” on the first side. My mistake.
I also largely agree with the rest of your comment. I think value promotion will tend to pay off slower than many (though not all) other longtermist interventions, and that this is true of promoting philosophy in schools in particular (which is the key point for this post).