Thanks I absolutely love this, and would be willing to do this same thing with the same ratio with half the size of the donation (2500) - I just don’t have much money lol. I would also be willing to use a 5 billion global population threshold, although I doubt that makes much difference—if we go down to 5 billion we probably go down to 1...
I don’t really consider it a wager as such, more a donation trade or something (I’m sure others can think of a better name)
If I can help make AI Doom .000000000000000000000000000000000001 percent less likely while getting more return than market growth to the charity of my choice, what’s there not to love?
Quick question what do you mean by “inflation adjusted” on the 7500 exactly?
RE: inflation adjusted this just means that we’re using the value of USD in 2025 rather than at the time of resolution; $1000 in 2000 is worth like $1200 now for example.
Thanks I absolutely love this, and would be willing to do this same thing with the same ratio with half the size of the donation (2500) - I just don’t have much money lol. I would also be willing to use a 5 billion global population threshold, although I doubt that makes much difference—if we go down to 5 billion we probably go down to 1...
I don’t really consider it a wager as such, more a donation trade or something (I’m sure others can think of a better name)
If I can help make AI Doom .000000000000000000000000000000000001 percent less likely while getting more return than market growth to the charity of my choice, what’s there not to love?
Quick question what do you mean by “inflation adjusted” on the 7500 exactly?
Nice one
RE: inflation adjusted this just means that we’re using the value of USD in 2025 rather than at the time of resolution; $1000 in 2000 is worth like $1200 now for example.