I think the question is predictivity. How can you run the most predictive systems possible for selecting good grants/employing suitable people?
I guess over time, networks will be worse predictors and the average trustworthiness of applicants will fall slightly, to which we should respond accordingly.
Though I guess that we have to ackowledge that some grants will be misspent and that the optimal amount of bad grants may not be 0.
Definitely agree that networks will become worse predictors and ultimately grants, job offers etc. will become more impersonal. This isn’t entirely a bad thing. For example personal and network-oriented approaches have significant issues around inclusivity that well-designed systems can avoid, especially if the original network is pretty concentrated and similar (see: the pic in the original post...)
As this happens this may also mean that over time people who have been in EA for a while may feel that ‘over time the average person in the movement feels less similar to them’. This is a good thing!… if recognised, and well-managed, and people are willing to make the cognitive effort to make it work.
I think the question is predictivity. How can you run the most predictive systems possible for selecting good grants/employing suitable people?
I guess over time, networks will be worse predictors and the average trustworthiness of applicants will fall slightly, to which we should respond accordingly.
Though I guess that we have to ackowledge that some grants will be misspent and that the optimal amount of bad grants may not be 0.
Definitely agree that networks will become worse predictors and ultimately grants, job offers etc. will become more impersonal. This isn’t entirely a bad thing. For example personal and network-oriented approaches have significant issues around inclusivity that well-designed systems can avoid, especially if the original network is pretty concentrated and similar (see: the pic in the original post...)
As this happens this may also mean that over time people who have been in EA for a while may feel that ‘over time the average person in the movement feels less similar to them’. This is a good thing!… if recognised, and well-managed, and people are willing to make the cognitive effort to make it work.