Thanks a lot for your response. I think 80000hours has actually “sort of
withdrawn their conclusions” from that post about extra donations
and recent hires.
It wouldn’t be surprising if the respondents were simply wrong. Our
impression is that most of the answers were given with just a couple
of minutes of reflection, and so mainly reflect a gut
intuition. There’s not much reason to expect these intuitions to be
accurate on average in this kind of domain.---80000hours
Thus I am not sure we should pursue these numbers anymore, from the
survey. Your thoughts?
Thanks a lot for your response. I think 80000hours has actually “sort of withdrawn their conclusions” from that post about extra donations and recent hires.
Thus I am not sure we should pursue these numbers anymore, from the survey. Your thoughts?
I sort of interpret that post as typical EA scrupulosity. They write:
But I didn’t really have a strong prior to begin with. Maybe the hire’s salary, but that’s really just the lower bound.