In the past, people like Eliezer Yudkowsky (see 1, 2, 3, 4, 5) have argued that MIRI has a medium probability of success.
What is this probability estimate based on and how is success defined?
(Note that I’ve asked this before, but I’m curious for more perspective.)
In the past, people like Eliezer Yudkowsky (see 1, 2, 3, 4, 5) have argued that MIRI has a medium probability of success.
What is this probability estimate based on and how is success defined?
(Note that I’ve asked this before, but I’m curious for more perspective.)