In the past, people like Eliezer Yudkowsky (see 1, 2, 3, 4, 5) have argued that MIRI has a medium probability of success.
What is this probability estimate based on and how is success defined?
(Note that I’ve asked this before, but I’m curious for more perspective.)
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In the past, people like Eliezer Yudkowsky (see 1, 2, 3, 4, 5) have argued that MIRI has a medium probability of success.
What is this probability estimate based on and how is success defined?
(Note that I’ve asked this before, but I’m curious for more perspective.)