As I said in the epistemic status, I’m far less certain than I once was, and on the whole I’m now skeptical. As I said in the post and earlier comments, I still think there are places where unquantifiable interventions are very valuable, I just think that unless it’s obvious that they will be (see: Diamond Law of Evaluation,) I’d claim that quantifiably effective interventions are in expectation better.
As I said in the epistemic status, I’m far less certain than I once was, and on the whole I’m now skeptical. As I said in the post and earlier comments, I still think there are places where unquantifiable interventions are very valuable, I just think that unless it’s obvious that they will be (see: Diamond Law of Evaluation,) I’d claim that quantifiably effective interventions are in expectation better.