I think we can drop the Bletchley park discussion.
Okay, I take it that you agree with my view.
… future-focused interventions have a very different set of questions than present-day non-quantifiable interventions
How are you separating out “future-focused interventions” from “present-day non-quantifiable interventions”?
Plausibly geoengineering safety will be very relevant in 15-30 years. Assuming that’s true, would you categorize geoengineering safety research as future-focused or present-day non-quantifiable?
I think my example of corruption reduction captures most of the types of interventions that people have suggested are useful but hard-to quantify, but other examples would be happiness focused work, or pushing for systemic change of various sorts.
Tech risks involving GCRs that are a decade or more away are much more future-focused in the sense that different arguments apply, as I said in the original post.
Okay, I take it that you agree with my view.
How are you separating out “future-focused interventions” from “present-day non-quantifiable interventions”?
Plausibly geoengineering safety will be very relevant in 15-30 years. Assuming that’s true, would you categorize geoengineering safety research as future-focused or present-day non-quantifiable?
I think my example of corruption reduction captures most of the types of interventions that people have suggested are useful but hard-to quantify, but other examples would be happiness focused work, or pushing for systemic change of various sorts.
Tech risks involving GCRs that are a decade or more away are much more future-focused in the sense that different arguments apply, as I said in the original post.