Anthony DiGiovanni 🔸 comments on What You Need to Refute Arguments With Astronomical Stakes

[Anthony DiGiovanni 🔸]

Hi Vasco —

one will still be better than the other in expectation

My posts argue that this is fundamentally the wrong framework. We don’t have precise “expectations”.

[Vasco Grilo🔸]

Thanks, Anthony. Is there any empirical evidence that would change your mind on that?

[Anthony DiGiovanni 🔸]

This particular claim isn’t empirical, it’s about what follows from compelling epistemic principles.

(As for empirical evidence that would change my mind about imprecision being so severe that we’re clueless, see our earlier exchange. I guess we hit a crux there.)