I place >60% on the herding belief fwiw, especially if we limit to countries that have enough power to actually shake things (eg China, US, UK, Russia etc).
An additional piece of evidence for this is the degree of correlated beliefs about things like HCTs and genetic enhancement.
I place >60% on the herding belief fwiw, especially if we limit to countries that have enough power to actually shake things (eg China, US, UK, Russia etc).
An additional piece of evidence for this is the degree of correlated beliefs about things like HCTs and genetic enhancement.