You can find the numbers in the Risk Landscape section. Yeah, it’s wonky. It seems very odd to me to both A) be confident that nuclear risk won’t kill everyone but will just kill 90% of people and B) that this would strongly influence which risks you worry about.
I’ll check out the article.
You can find the numbers in the Risk Landscape section. Yeah, it’s wonky. It seems very odd to me to both A) be confident that nuclear risk won’t kill everyone but will just kill 90% of people and B) that this would strongly influence which risks you worry about.
Also, you might be interested in the submission I just made to the contest about many worlds and nuclear risk, as I am also begging EA to care about nuclear risk. https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Gg2YsjGe3oahw2kxE/nuclear-fine-tuning-how-many-worlds-have-been-destroyed?
Thanks for sharing. I’ll check out your post.
Do you know how one might get another copy of the Precipice? I donated mine to a friend.
If you sign up for the 80,000 hours newsletter you can get one for free, it is also on libgen