Suppose we’re sometime in the (near-ish) future. The longtermist project hasn’t fulfilled 2020′s expectations. Where did we go wrong? What scenarios (and with what probabilities) may have lead to this?
I hope this question isn’t strictly isomorphic to asking about objections to long-termism.
[Question] What would a pre-mortem for the long-termist project look like?
Suppose we’re sometime in the (near-ish) future. The longtermist project hasn’t fulfilled 2020′s expectations. Where did we go wrong? What scenarios (and with what probabilities) may have lead to this?
I hope this question isn’t strictly isomorphic to asking about objections to long-termism.