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Longtermism

TagLast edit: 13 Jan 2022 16:58 UTC by Leo

Longtermism is the view that positively influencing the long-term future is a key moral priority of our time.[1][2]

A distinction is sometimes drawn between longtermism simpliciter and strong versions of that view.[3] While allowing that other forms of influence may also be important, strong longtermism holds that positively influencing the long-term future has dominant moral importance. This view has been defended by Hilary Greaves and William MacAskill,[4] and has precedents in the work of Nick Bostrom,[5][6] Nick Beckstead,[7][8] and others.

Further reading

MacAskill, William, Hilary Greaves & Elliott Thornley (2021) The moral case for long-term thinking, in Natalie Cargill & Tyler John (eds.) The Long View: Essays on Policy, Philanthropy, and the Long-Term Future, London: First, pp. 19–28.

Moorhouse, Fin (2021) Introduction to longtermism, Effective Altruism, January 27.

Todd, Benjamin (2013) How important are future generations?, 80,000 Hours, August 19.

Whittlestone, Jess (2017) The long-term future, Effective Altruism, November 16.

External links

Longtermism. Online introduction and resource compilation on longtermism by Fin Moorhouse.

Related entries

ethics of existential risk | existential risk | existential security | global health and wellbeing | institutions for future generations | long-range forecasting | macrostrategy | non-humans and the long-term future | patient altruism | trajectory change

  1. ^

    Ord, Toby (2020) The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity, London: Bloomsbury Publishing, p. 46.

  2. ^

    MacAskill, William (forthcoming) What We Owe the Future, New York: Basic Books.

  3. ^

    MacAskill, William (2019) “Longtermism”, Effective Altruism Forum, July 25.

  4. ^

    Greaves, Hilary & William MacAskill (2021) The case for strong longtermism, working paper.

  5. ^

    Bostrom, Nick (2003) Astronomical waste: The opportunity cost of delayed technological development, Utilitas, vol. 15, pp. 308–314.

  6. ^

    Bostrom, Nick (2013) Existential risk prevention as global priority, Global Policy, vol. 4, pp. 15–31.

  7. ^

    Beckstead, Nick (2013) On the Overwhelming Importance of Shaping the Far Future, doctoral thesis, Rutgers University.

  8. ^

    Beckstead, Nick (2019) A brief argument for the overwhelming importance of shaping the far future, in Hilary Greaves & Theron Pummer (eds.) Effective Altruism: Philosophical Issues, Oxford: Oxford University Press, pp. 80–98.

‘Longter­mism’

William_MacAskill25 Jul 2019 21:27 UTC
118 points
58 comments9 min readEA link

Com­mon ground for longtermists

Tobias_Baumann29 Jul 2020 10:26 UTC
70 points
8 comments4 min readEA link

The Case for Strong Longtermism

Global Priorities Institute3 Sep 2019 1:17 UTC
14 points
1 comment3 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

The Epistemic Challenge to Longter­mism (Tarsney, 2020)

MichaelA4 Apr 2021 3:09 UTC
65 points
28 comments2 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

Database of orgs rele­vant to longter­mist/​x-risk work

MichaelA19 Nov 2021 8:50 UTC
82 points
25 comments4 min readEA link

Re­sponse to Re­cent Crit­i­cisms of Longtermism

Avital Balwit13 Dec 2021 13:36 UTC
193 points
27 comments28 min readEA link

A longter­mist cri­tique of “The ex­pected value of ex­tinc­tion risk re­duc­tion is pos­i­tive”

antimonyanthony1 Jul 2021 21:01 UTC
80 points
8 comments46 min readEA link

Ob­jec­tives of longter­mist policy making

Henrik Øberg Myhre10 Feb 2021 18:26 UTC
52 points
7 comments22 min readEA link

GCRs miti­ga­tion: the miss­ing Sus­tain­able Devel­op­ment Goal

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117 points
5 comments26 min readEA link

A prac­ti­cal guide to long-term plan­ning – and sug­ges­tions for longtermism

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113 points
12 comments24 min readEA link

Cru­cial ques­tions for longtermists

MichaelA29 Jul 2020 9:39 UTC
86 points
17 comments19 min readEA link

Every­day Longtermism

Owen_Cotton-Barratt1 Jan 2021 17:39 UTC
142 points
29 comments9 min readEA link

Hu­man­i­ties Re­search Ideas for Longtermists

Lizka9 Jun 2021 4:39 UTC
133 points
13 comments15 min readEA link

Why I am prob­a­bly not a longtermist

Denise_Melchin23 Sep 2021 17:24 UTC
150 points
46 comments8 min readEA link

In­sti­tu­tion de­sign for ex­po­nen­tial technology

acylhalide2 Jan 2022 10:52 UTC
8 points
0 comments7 min readEA link

Blueprints (& lenses) for longter­mist de­ci­sion-making

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47 points
2 comments6 min readEA link

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Ajeya28 Jan 2021 17:38 UTC
83 points
107 comments1 min readEA link

A full syl­labus on longtermism

jtm5 Mar 2021 22:57 UTC
103 points
13 comments8 min readEA link

Pos­si­ble mis­con­cep­tions about (strong) longtermism

JackM9 Mar 2021 17:58 UTC
87 points
45 comments19 min readEA link

My per­sonal cruxes for fo­cus­ing on ex­is­ten­tial risks /​ longter­mism /​ any­thing other than just video games

MichaelA13 Apr 2021 5:50 UTC
52 points
28 comments3 min readEA link

Progress stud­ies vs. longter­mist EA: some differences

Max_Daniel31 May 2021 21:35 UTC
77 points
27 comments3 min readEA link

The case for strong longter­mism—June 2021 update

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63 points
13 comments3 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

[Fu­ture Perfect] How to be a good ancestor

Pablo2 Jul 2021 13:17 UTC
41 points
3 comments2 min readEA link
(www.vox.com)

Ap­ply to the new Open Philan­thropy Tech­nol­ogy Policy Fel­low­ship!

lukeprog20 Jul 2021 18:41 UTC
78 points
7 comments5 min readEA link

Towards a Weaker Longtermism

Davidmanheim8 Aug 2021 8:31 UTC
97 points
73 comments3 min readEA link

[Question] Should you op­ti­mise for the long-term sur­vival of peo­ple who don’t care for their own long-term sur­vival?

acylhalide3 Oct 2021 7:18 UTC
6 points
11 comments1 min readEA link

Notic­ing the skulls, longter­mism edition

Davidmanheim5 Oct 2021 7:08 UTC
63 points
73 comments2 min readEA link

A guided cause pri­ori­ti­sa­tion flowchart

JackM3 Jan 2022 20:32 UTC
37 points
14 comments6 min readEA link

[Linkpost] Eric Sch­witzgebel: Against Longtermism

ag40006 Jan 2022 14:15 UTC
41 points
4 comments1 min readEA link

Are we liv­ing at the most in­fluen­tial time in his­tory?

William_MacAskill3 Sep 2019 4:55 UTC
192 points
147 comments25 min readEA link

How to think about an un­cer­tain fu­ture: les­sons from other sec­tors & mis­takes of longter­mist EAs

weeatquince5 Sep 2020 12:51 UTC
51 points
32 comments14 min readEA link

Re­sponse to Phil Tor­res’ ‘The Case Against Longter­mism’

HaydnBelfield8 Mar 2021 18:09 UTC
109 points
72 comments5 min readEA link

[Question] What do you make of the dooms­day ar­gu­ment?

niklas19 Mar 2021 6:30 UTC
12 points
8 comments1 min readEA link

On fu­ture peo­ple, look­ing back at 21st cen­tury longtermism

Joe_Carlsmith22 Mar 2021 8:21 UTC
93 points
13 comments12 min readEA link

For­mal­is­ing the “Wash­ing Out Hy­poth­e­sis”

dwebb25 Mar 2021 11:40 UTC
89 points
24 comments12 min readEA link

On the longter­mist case for work­ing on farmed an­i­mals [Uncer­tain­ties & re­search ideas]

MichaelA11 Apr 2021 6:49 UTC
66 points
12 comments8 min readEA link

Why EAs re­search­ing main­stream top­ics can be useful

MichaelA13 Jun 2021 10:14 UTC
37 points
5 comments14 min readEA link

Why scale is over­rated: The case for in­creas­ing EA policy efforts in smaller countries

philiphand15 Aug 2021 17:48 UTC
58 points
5 comments30 min readEA link

[Cross­post] Re­duc­ing Risks of Astro­nom­i­cal Suffer­ing: A Ne­glected Priority

Bob Jacobs14 Sep 2016 15:21 UTC
44 points
1 comment12 min readEA link
(longtermrisk.org)

Democratis­ing Risk—or how EA deals with critics

CarlaZoeC28 Dec 2021 15:05 UTC
188 points
292 comments4 min readEA link

Should EA be ex­plic­itly long-ter­mist or un­com­mit­ted?

casebash11 Jan 2022 8:56 UTC
15 points
9 comments6 min readEA link

Ask Me Any­thing!

William_MacAskill14 Aug 2019 15:52 UTC
153 points
138 comments3 min readEA link

Toby Ord’s ‘The Precipice’ is pub­lished!

matthew.vandermerwe4 Mar 2020 21:09 UTC
146 points
18 comments2 min readEA link

A bunch of new GPI papers

Pablo25 Sep 2019 13:32 UTC
104 points
6 comments2 min readEA link

In­sti­tu­tions for Fu­ture Generations

tylermjohn11 Nov 2019 20:33 UTC
107 points
54 comments5 min readEA link

Eight high-level un­cer­tain­ties about global catas­trophic and ex­is­ten­tial risk

SiebeRozendal28 Nov 2019 14:47 UTC
81 points
9 comments5 min readEA link

Book Re­view: The Precipice

Aaron Gertler9 Apr 2020 21:21 UTC
39 points
0 comments17 min readEA link
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William_MacAskill4 Dec 2018 10:36 UTC
62 points
0 commentsEA link

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61 points
11 comments1 min readEA link

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63 points
3 comments41 min readEA link

Age-Weighted Voting

William_MacAskill12 Jul 2019 15:21 UTC
63 points
39 comments6 min readEA link

AMA: Toby Ord, au­thor of “The Precipice” and co-founder of the EA movement

Toby_Ord17 Mar 2020 2:39 UTC
67 points
82 comments1 min readEA link

The Long-Term Fu­ture: An At­ti­tude Survey

Aron_Vallinder16 Sep 2019 15:57 UTC
62 points
15 comments8 min readEA link

Should Longter­mists Mostly Think About An­i­mals?

abrahamrowe3 Feb 2020 14:40 UTC
77 points
41 comments20 min readEA link

If you value fu­ture peo­ple, why do you con­sider near term effects?

Alex HT8 Apr 2020 15:21 UTC
89 points
78 comments13 min readEA link

Clar­ify­ing ex­is­ten­tial risks and ex­is­ten­tial catastrophes

MichaelA24 Apr 2020 13:27 UTC
24 points
3 comments7 min readEA link

[Question] What are the lead­ing cri­tiques of “longter­mism” and re­lated concepts

AlasdairGives30 May 2020 10:54 UTC
40 points
27 comments1 min readEA link

Differ­en­tial tech­nolog­i­cal de­vel­op­ment

velutvulpes25 Jun 2020 10:54 UTC
29 points
7 comments5 min readEA link

Rep­re­sent­ing fu­ture gen­er­a­tions in the poli­ti­cal process

Tobias_Baumann25 Jun 2020 15:31 UTC
35 points
6 comments1 min readEA link
(centerforreducingsuffering.org)

Civ­i­liza­tion Re-Emerg­ing After a Catas­trophic Collapse

MichaelA27 Jun 2020 3:22 UTC
31 points
18 comments2 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Venn di­a­grams of ex­is­ten­tial, global, and suffer­ing catastrophes

MichaelA15 Jul 2020 12:28 UTC
67 points
2 comments7 min readEA link

Why I’m skep­ti­cal about un­proven causes (and you should be too)

Peter Wildeford7 Aug 2013 4:00 UTC
40 points
0 commentsEA link

Why long-run fo­cused effec­tive al­tru­ism is more com­mon sense

Benjamin_Todd21 Nov 2014 0:12 UTC
21 points
19 commentsEA link

Why might the fu­ture be good?

Paul_Christiano27 Feb 2013 5:00 UTC
5 points
0 commentsEA link

A pro­posed ad­just­ment to the as­tro­nom­i­cal waste argument

Nick_Beckstead27 May 2013 4:00 UTC
24 points
1 commentEA link

Con­ver­sa­tion with Holden Karnofsky, Nick Beck­stead, and Eliezer Yud­kowsky on the “long-run” per­spec­tive on effec­tive altruism

Nick_Beckstead18 Aug 2014 4:30 UTC
4 points
7 commentsEA link

EA read­ing list: longter­mism and ex­is­ten­tial risks

richard_ngo3 Aug 2020 9:52 UTC
34 points
3 comments1 min readEA link

Cause pri­ori­ti­za­tion for down­side-fo­cused value systems

Lukas_Gloor31 Jan 2018 14:47 UTC
70 points
10 comments48 min readEA link

The ex­pected value of ex­tinc­tion risk re­duc­tion is positive

JanBrauner9 Dec 2018 8:00 UTC
43 points
23 comments61 min readEA link

Link: Longter­mist In­sti­tu­tional Reform

Dale30 Jul 2020 20:36 UTC
28 points
3 comments1 min readEA link

Toby Ord: Selected quo­ta­tions on ex­is­ten­tial risk

Aaron Gertler6 Aug 2020 17:41 UTC
27 points
0 comments38 min readEA link
(theprecipice.com)

The emerg­ing school of pa­tient longtermism

80000_Hours7 Aug 2020 16:28 UTC
64 points
11 comments2 min readEA link

[Question] What are novel ma­jor in­sights from longter­mist macros­trat­egy or global pri­ori­ties re­search found since 2015?

Max_Daniel13 Aug 2020 9:15 UTC
80 points
56 comments1 min readEA link

Thoughts on pa­tient philanthropy

Tobias_Baumann8 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC
14 points
5 comments1 min readEA link
(s-risks.org)

For­mal­iz­ing longtermism

Michael_Wiebe16 Sep 2020 5:00 UTC
9 points
15 comments2 min readEA link

Ev­i­dence, clue­less­ness, and the long term—Hilary Greaves

velutvulpes1 Nov 2020 17:25 UTC
84 points
51 comments19 min readEA link

Longter­mism and an­i­mal advocacy

Tobias_Baumann11 Nov 2020 17:44 UTC
81 points
8 comments1 min readEA link
(centerforreducingsuffering.org)

Com­pet­i­tive Ethics

mwcvitkovic24 Nov 2020 1:00 UTC
20 points
7 comments4 min readEA link

First S-Risk In­tro Seminar

stefan.torges8 Dec 2020 9:23 UTC
68 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

[Feed­back Re­quest] The com­pound in­ter­est of sav­ing lives

MaxG22 Dec 2020 13:50 UTC
35 points
10 comments2 min readEA link

Web of virtue the­sis [re­search note]

Owen_Cotton-Barratt1 Jan 2021 16:21 UTC
49 points
1 comment9 min readEA link

Global Pri­ori­ties In­sti­tute: Re­search Agenda

Aaron Gertler20 Jan 2021 20:09 UTC
21 points
0 comments2 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

In­tro­duc­tion to Longtermism

finm27 Jan 2021 16:01 UTC
78 points
13 comments31 min readEA link
(effectivealtruism.org)

The Up­per Limit of Value

Davidmanheim27 Jan 2021 14:15 UTC
31 points
6 comments1 min readEA link

Were the Great Tragedies of His­tory “Mere Rip­ples”?

philosophytorres8 Feb 2021 14:56 UTC
−8 points
11 comments1 min readEA link

Ex­is­ten­tial risk and the fu­ture of hu­man­ity (Toby Ord)

EA Global21 Mar 2020 18:05 UTC
9 points
1 comment14 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Re. Longter­mism: A re­sponse to the EA fo­rum (part 2)

vadmas1 Mar 2021 18:13 UTC
15 points
5 comments1 min readEA link

Re­sponse to re­cent crit­i­cisms of EA “longter­mist” thinking

kbog6 Jan 2020 4:31 UTC
26 points
46 comments11 min readEA link

Why I find longter­mism hard, and what keeps me motivated

Michelle_Hutchinson22 Feb 2021 23:01 UTC
184 points
12 comments7 min readEA link

Good v. Op­ti­mal Futures

RobertHarling11 Dec 2020 16:38 UTC
31 points
10 comments6 min readEA link

What con­se­quences?

Milan_Griffes23 Nov 2017 18:27 UTC
28 points
22 commentsEA link

Hilary Greaves: Ev­i­dence, clue­less­ness and the long term

EA Global25 Oct 2020 5:48 UTC
8 points
1 comment1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

In­ter­na­tional Crim­i­nal Law and the Fu­ture of Hu­man­ity: A The­ory of the Crime of Omnicide

philosophytorres22 Mar 2021 12:19 UTC
4 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

Pro­posed Longter­mist Flag

Cullen_OKeefe24 Mar 2021 5:40 UTC
29 points
48 comments1 min readEA link

Chris­tian Tarsney: Can we pre­dictably im­prove the far fu­ture?

EA Global18 Oct 2019 7:40 UTC
9 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Robert Wiblin: Mak­ing sense of long-term in­di­rect effects

EA Global6 Aug 2016 0:40 UTC
8 points
0 comments16 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

What we owe the fu­ture (Will MacAskill)

EA Global5 Jun 2020 19:36 UTC
10 points
0 comments19 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Longter­mism: More to explore

EA Handbook2 Jan 2021 2:28 UTC
2 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Thoughts on “tra­jec­tory changes”

evelynciara7 Apr 2021 2:18 UTC
15 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Peter Singer on the 80K podcast

Jon_Behar18 Dec 2019 17:17 UTC
31 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(80000hours.org)

Mo­ral plu­ral­ism and longter­mism | Sunyshore

evelynciara17 Apr 2021 0:14 UTC
26 points
0 comments5 min readEA link
(sunyshore.substack.com)

On Progress and Prosperity

Paul_Christiano15 Oct 2014 7:03 UTC
37 points
34 commentsEA link

The asym­me­try and the far future

John G. Halstead9 Mar 2017 22:05 UTC
11 points
14 commentsEA link

Ac­tu­ally pos­si­ble: thoughts on Utopia

Joe_Carlsmith18 Jan 2021 8:27 UTC
67 points
3 comments13 min readEA link

Should marginal longter­mist dona­tions sup­port fun­da­men­tal or in­ter­ven­tion re­search?

MichaelA30 Nov 2020 1:10 UTC
42 points
4 comments15 min readEA link

Niel Bow­er­man: Astro­nom­i­cal stakes

EA Global28 Aug 2015 16:14 UTC
6 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Nick Bostrom: Astro­nom­i­cal stakes

EA Global28 Aug 2015 8:37 UTC
6 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Max­i­miz­ing long-term impact

Squark3 Mar 2015 19:50 UTC
6 points
14 commentsEA link

Thoughts on “The Case for Strong Longter­mism” (Greaves & MacAskill)

MichaelA2 May 2021 18:00 UTC
30 points
19 comments2 min readEA link

[Link] “How fea­si­ble is long-range fore­cast­ing?” (Open Phil)

Milan_Griffes11 Oct 2019 21:01 UTC
42 points
7 comments1 min readEA link

[Question] Does Utili­tar­ian Longter­mism Im­ply Directed Pansper­mia?

Ahrenbach24 Apr 2020 18:15 UTC
3 points
14 comments1 min readEA link

The Three Peaks of the Long-Term Fu­ture

FeelingSentient23 May 2021 14:25 UTC
11 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Long-Term Fu­ture Fund: May 2021 grant recommendations

abergal27 May 2021 6:44 UTC
110 points
17 comments57 min readEA link

My cur­rent im­pres­sions on ca­reer choice for longtermists

Holden Karnofsky4 Jun 2021 17:07 UTC
333 points
34 comments27 min readEA link

[Question] Non-con­se­quen­tial­ist longtermism

Nathan_Barnard5 Jun 2021 1:48 UTC
13 points
13 comments1 min readEA link

Astro­nom­i­cal Waste: The Op­por­tu­nity Cost of De­layed Tech­nolog­i­cal Devel­op­ment—Nick Bostrom (2003)

velutvulpes10 Jun 2021 21:21 UTC
10 points
0 comments8 min readEA link
(www.nickbostrom.com)

An an­i­mated in­tro­duc­tion to longter­mism (feat. Robert Miles)

Writer21 Jun 2021 19:24 UTC
25 points
38 comments4 min readEA link
(youtu.be)

Shelly Ka­gan—read­ings for Ethics and the Fu­ture sem­i­nar (spring 2021)

velutvulpes29 Jun 2021 9:59 UTC
88 points
7 comments5 min readEA link
(docs.google.com)

Help Re­think Pri­ori­ties Use Data for An­i­mals, Longter­mism, and EA

Peter Wildeford5 Jul 2021 17:20 UTC
59 points
3 comments4 min readEA link

[Question] What are the long term con­se­quences of poverty alle­vi­a­tion?

Mati_Roy12 Jul 2021 18:14 UTC
18 points
5 comments1 min readEA link

Some thoughts on Pa­tient Longtermism

nora15 Mar 2021 9:13 UTC
45 points
6 comments3 min readEA link

A per­sonal take on longter­mist AI governance

lukeprog16 Jul 2021 22:08 UTC
141 points
3 comments12 min readEA link

Open Philan­thropy is seek­ing pro­pos­als for out­reach projects

abergal16 Jul 2021 20:34 UTC
165 points
13 comments10 min readEA link

Mo­gensen & MacAskill, ‘The paral­y­sis ar­gu­ment’

Pablo19 Jul 2021 14:04 UTC
14 points
1 comment1 min readEA link
(quod.lib.umich.edu)

A Se­quence Against Strong Longter­mism

vadmas22 Jul 2021 20:07 UTC
20 points
14 comments1 min readEA link

AMA: The new Open Philan­thropy Tech­nol­ogy Policy Fellowship

lukeprog26 Jul 2021 15:11 UTC
34 points
16 comments1 min readEA link

Towards a longter­mist frame­work for eval­u­at­ing democ­racy-re­lated interventions

22tom28 Jul 2021 13:23 UTC
84 points
5 comments36 min readEA link

EA Sur­vey 2020: Cause Prioritization

David_Moss29 Jul 2021 18:06 UTC
90 points
11 comments4 min readEA link

Surveillance and free ex­pres­sion | Sunyshore

evelynciara23 Feb 2021 2:14 UTC
9 points
0 comments9 min readEA link
(sunyshore.substack.com)

Open Phil EA/​LT Sur­vey 2020: Re­spon­dent Info

reallyeli24 Aug 2021 17:32 UTC
27 points
0 comments5 min readEA link

Open Phil EA/​LT Sur­vey 2020: What Helped and Hin­dered Our Respondents

reallyeli29 Aug 2021 7:00 UTC
34 points
0 comments28 min readEA link

Open Phil EA/​LT Sur­vey 2020: EA Groups

reallyeli1 Sep 2021 1:01 UTC
32 points
0 comments4 min readEA link

Open Phil EA/​LT Sur­vey 2020: In­tro­duc­tion & Sum­mary of Takeaways

reallyeli19 Aug 2021 1:01 UTC
72 points
4 comments8 min readEA link

Open Phil EA/​LT Sur­vey 2020: Methodology

reallyeli23 Aug 2021 1:01 UTC
30 points
1 comment9 min readEA link

Open Phil EA/​LT Sur­vey 2020: How Our Re­spon­dents First Learned About EA/​EA-Ad­ja­cent Ideas

reallyeli6 Sep 2021 1:01 UTC
27 points
1 comment7 min readEA link

Open Phil EA/​LT Sur­vey 2020: Other Findings

reallyeli9 Sep 2021 1:01 UTC
39 points
0 comments7 min readEA link

Ori­ent­ing to­wards the long-term fu­ture (Joseph Car­l­smith)

EA Global3 Nov 2017 7:43 UTC
15 points
0 comments10 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Mag­ni­tude of un­cer­tainty with longtermism

Venky102411 Sep 2021 14:48 UTC
11 points
9 comments1 min readEA link

Teruji Thomas, ‘The Asym­me­try, Uncer­tainty, and the Long Term’

Pablo5 Nov 2019 20:24 UTC
38 points
5 comments1 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

The most im­por­tant cen­tury and the rep­re­sen­ta­tive­ness of EA

Luke Eure28 Sep 2021 5:06 UTC
38 points
10 comments2 min readEA link

The LessWrong Team is now Light­cone In­fras­truc­ture, come work with us!

Habryka1 Oct 2021 4:36 UTC
62 points
2 comments1 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

How to Ac­cel­er­ate Tech­nolog­i­cal Progress—New Things Un­der the Sun

evelynciara3 Oct 2021 17:49 UTC
13 points
0 comments8 min readEA link
(www.newthingsunderthesun.com)

[Pod­cast] Ben Todd on Choos­ing a Ca­reer and Defin­ing Longtermism

finm4 Oct 2021 10:15 UTC
6 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(hearthisidea.com)

[Job ad] Re­search im­por­tant longter­mist top­ics at Re­think Pri­ori­ties!

Linch6 Oct 2021 19:09 UTC
65 points
46 comments1 min readEA link

Gen­eral vs spe­cific ar­gu­ments for the longter­mist im­por­tance of shap­ing AI development

SamClarke15 Oct 2021 14:43 UTC
41 points
5 comments2 min readEA link

Mo­ral de­mands and the far future

Global Priorities Institute31 May 2020 13:36 UTC
3 points
0 comments3 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

“Nu­clear risk re­search, fore­cast­ing, & im­pact” [pre­sen­ta­tion]

MichaelA21 Oct 2021 10:54 UTC
13 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

The Phil Tor­res es­say in Aeon at­tack­ing Longter­mism might be good

timunderwood21 Oct 2021 0:32 UTC
16 points
7 comments2 min readEA link

[Question] “In­ter­gen­er­a­tional com­mu­ni­ca­tion”: could some­thing like “writ­ing let­ters to the fu­ture” sus­ci­tate in­ter­est in long-ter­mism?

Ramiro7 Nov 2021 23:35 UTC
10 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

[Question] What’s the GiveDirectly of longter­mism & ex­is­ten­tial risk?

Nathan Young15 Nov 2021 23:55 UTC
28 points
25 comments1 min readEA link

Reflect­ing on Steer­ing, Pit­falls, and History

Davidmanheim21 Nov 2021 8:05 UTC
31 points
0 comments4 min readEA link

[Question] Where should I donate?

evelynciara22 Nov 2021 20:56 UTC
29 points
9 comments1 min readEA link

Mo­ti­va­tional Re­sources for Longtermists

Akash8 Dec 2021 19:58 UTC
6 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

In­creased Availa­bil­ity and Willing­ness for De­ploy­ment of Re­sources for Effec­tive Altru­ism and Long-Termism

Evan_Gaensbauer29 Dec 2021 20:20 UTC
37 points
1 comment2 min readEA link

The Precipice: In­tro­duc­tion and Chap­ter One

Toby_Ord2 Jan 2021 7:13 UTC
19 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

EA needs a hiring agency and Non­lin­ear will fund you to start one

Kat Woods17 Jan 2022 14:51 UTC
137 points
8 comments9 min readEA link

[Question] Ex­am­ples of pure al­tru­ism to­wards fu­ture gen­er­a­tions?

richard_ngo26 Jan 2022 16:42 UTC
15 points
13 comments1 min readEA link

Causal di­a­grams of the paths to ex­is­ten­tial catastrophe

MichaelA1 Mar 2020 14:08 UTC
45 points
14 comments13 min readEA link

Quotes about the long reflection

MichaelA5 Mar 2020 7:48 UTC
53 points
13 comments13 min readEA link

[Link and com­men­tary] Beyond Near- and Long-Term: Towards a Clearer Ac­count of Re­search Pri­ori­ties in AI Ethics and Society

MichaelA14 Mar 2020 9:04 UTC
17 points
0 comments6 min readEA link

[Question] Will the coro­n­avirus pan­demic ad­vance or hin­der the spread of longter­mist-style val­ues/​think­ing?

MichaelA19 Mar 2020 6:07 UTC
12 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

Differ­en­tial progress /​ in­tel­lec­tual progress /​ tech­nolog­i­cal development

MichaelA24 Apr 2020 14:08 UTC
32 points
16 comments7 min readEA link

Ex­is­ten­tial risks are not just about humanity

MichaelA28 Apr 2020 0:09 UTC
27 points
0 comments5 min readEA link

Some thoughts on Toby Ord’s ex­is­ten­tial risk estimates

MichaelA7 Apr 2020 2:19 UTC
57 points
32 comments9 min readEA link

[Question] What are some re­sources to learn how Tech­nol­ogy af­fects longter­mism in Poli­cy­mak­ing?

Venkatesh12 Jun 2020 14:50 UTC
2 points
1 comment2 min readEA link

Model­ing the Hu­man Tra­jec­tory (Open Philan­thropy)

Aaron Gertler16 Jun 2020 9:27 UTC
50 points
4 comments2 min readEA link
(www.openphilanthropy.org)

Long-term in­vest­ment fund at Founders Pledge

SjirH10 Jan 2020 19:09 UTC
139 points
28 comments3 min readEA link

[Question] For those work­ing on longter­mist pro­jects, how do you stay mo­ti­vated in the short-term?

warrenjordan8 Aug 2020 19:21 UTC
13 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

[Question] Is ex­is­ten­tial risk more press­ing than other ways to im­prove the long-term fu­ture?

evelynciara20 Aug 2020 3:50 UTC
23 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

“Why Na­tions Fail” and the long-ter­mist view of global poverty

Ben_Kuhn16 Jul 2019 7:59 UTC
129 points
20 comments13 min readEA link
(www.benkuhn.net)

Re­ward­ing pri­vate pro­vi­sion of pub­lic goods

VictorSintNicolaas24 Oct 2020 10:00 UTC
35 points
0 comments5 min readEA link

The Case for Space: A Longter­mist Alter­na­tive to Ex­is­ten­tial Threat Reduction

Giga18 Nov 2020 13:09 UTC
8 points
5 comments2 min readEA link

Dy­lan Matthews: The case for car­ing about the year 3000

Pablo18 Dec 2019 1:07 UTC
27 points
1 comment3 min readEA link

A rel­a­tively athe­o­ret­i­cal per­spec­tive on as­tro­nom­i­cal waste

Nick_Beckstead6 Aug 2014 0:55 UTC
9 points
8 commentsEA link

The ‘far fu­ture’ is not just the far future

David_Kristoffersson16 Jan 2020 15:30 UTC
30 points
8 comments3 min readEA link

New in­fo­graphic based on “The Precipice”. any feed­back?

michael.andregg14 Jan 2021 7:29 UTC
48 points
4 comments1 min readEA link

In­com­pat­i­bil­ity of moral re­al­ism and time discounting

wuschel12 Dec 2020 18:47 UTC
13 points
6 comments8 min readEA link

A case against strong longtermism

vadmas15 Dec 2020 20:56 UTC
60 points
82 comments1 min readEA link

Longter­mism which doesn’t care about Ex­tinc­tion—Im­pli­ca­tions of Be­natar’s asym­me­try be­tween pain and pleasure

jushy19 Dec 2020 12:31 UTC
17 points
11 comments1 min readEA link

Strong Longter­mism, Ir­refutabil­ity, and Mo­ral Progress

ben_chugg26 Dec 2020 19:44 UTC
49 points
100 comments10 min readEA link

Le­gal Pri­ori­ties Re­search: A Re­search Agenda

jonasschuett6 Jan 2021 21:47 UTC
58 points
4 comments1 min readEA link

What I be­lieve, part 1: Utili­tar­i­anism | Sunyshore

evelynciara10 Jan 2021 17:58 UTC
10 points
1 comment4 min readEA link
(sunyshore.substack.com)

Is GDP the right met­ric?

Lars Mennen20 Jan 2021 10:20 UTC
15 points
8 comments5 min readEA link
(larsmennen.me)

[Pod­cast] Ajeya Co­tra on wor­ld­view di­ver­sifi­ca­tion and how big the fu­ture could be

evelynciara22 Jan 2021 23:57 UTC
56 points
20 comments1 min readEA link
(80000hours.org)

[Question] Should pa­tient in­vestors try to cor­re­late port­fo­lio hold­ings with po­ten­tial cause ar­eas?

shepardspie31 Jan 2021 22:11 UTC
20 points
2 comments2 min readEA link

Prov­ing too much: A re­sponse to the EA forum

vadmas15 Feb 2021 19:00 UTC
24 points
7 comments1 min readEA link

What is the ar­gu­ment against a Thanos-ing all hu­man­ity to save the lives of other sen­tient be­ings?

somethoughts7 Mar 2021 8:02 UTC
0 points
11 comments3 min readEA link

How tractable is clue­less­ness?

Milan_Griffes29 Dec 2017 18:52 UTC
16 points
2 commentsEA link

Do­ing good while clueless

Milan_Griffes15 Feb 2018 5:04 UTC
39 points
7 commentsEA link

Ex­is­ten­tial risk as com­mon cause

technicalities5 Dec 2018 14:01 UTC
32 points
22 commentsEA link

[Question] Name for the larger EA+ad­ja­cent ecosys­tem?

RyanCarey18 Mar 2021 14:21 UTC
27 points
22 comments1 min readEA link

As­sump­tions about the far fu­ture and cause priority

Jc_Mourrat13 Nov 2019 20:06 UTC
45 points
30 comments21 min readEA link

Hay­den Wilk­in­son: Do­ing good in an in­finite, chaotic world

EA Global18 Feb 2020 23:29 UTC
33 points
1 comment18 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

[Question] How should longter­mists think about eat­ing meat?

berglund16 May 2020 20:21 UTC
17 points
29 comments1 min readEA link

[Question] What would a pre-mortem for the long-ter­mist pro­ject look like?

Azure11 Apr 2020 14:51 UTC
18 points
8 comments1 min readEA link

Tiny Prob­a­bil­ities of Vast Utilities: A Prob­lem for Long-Ter­mism?

kokotajlod8 Nov 2018 10:09 UTC
23 points
17 commentsEA link

Tiny Prob­a­bil­ities of Vast Utilities: De­fus­ing the Ini­tial Worry and Steel­man­ning the Problem

kokotajlod10 Nov 2018 9:12 UTC
24 points
6 commentsEA link

Tiny Prob­a­bil­ities of Vast Utilities: Solutions

kokotajlod14 Nov 2018 16:04 UTC
20 points
5 commentsEA link

Tiny Prob­a­bil­ities of Vast Utilities: Con­clud­ing Arguments

kokotajlod15 Nov 2018 21:47 UTC
21 points
5 comments10 min readEA link

Tiny Prob­a­bil­ities of Vast Utilities: Bibliog­ra­phy and Appendix

kokotajlod20 Nov 2018 17:34 UTC
9 points
0 comments24 min readEA link

Every­day longter­mism in practice

JohnsonRamsaur6 Apr 2021 14:42 UTC
18 points
2 comments3 min readEA link

Ben Grodeck: Co­op­er­at­ing with fu­ture gen­er­a­tions — an ex­per­i­men­tal investigation

EA Global21 Feb 2020 15:28 UTC
15 points
0 comments14 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

[Link] Mo­ral In­ter­lude from “The Wizard and the Prophet”

Milan_Griffes27 Sep 2019 18:42 UTC
13 points
8 comments8 min readEA link

The NPT: Learn­ing from a Longter­mist Suc­cess [Links!]

DannyBressler20 May 2021 0:39 UTC
66 points
6 comments2 min readEA link

The Mo­ral Value of the Far Future

Holden Karnofsky3 Jul 2014 12:43 UTC
2 points
0 comments8 min readEA link
(www.openphilanthropy.org)

The Multi-Class Op­ti­mizer’s Curse

FeelingSentient4 Jul 2021 12:04 UTC
20 points
0 comments2 min readEA link

The Fu­ture of Hu­man­ity & The Meth­ods of Ethics: A dis­cus­sion of Bostrom, Sidg­wick and Scheffler (Thurs­day 22 July, 6:30pm UK)

peterhartree18 Jul 2021 18:58 UTC
23 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

Tay­lor Swift’s “long story short” Is Ac­tu­ally About Effec­tive Altru­ism and Longter­mism (PARODY)

shepardspie23 Jul 2021 13:25 UTC
34 points
13 comments7 min readEA link

[3-hour pod­cast]: Joseph Car­l­smith on longter­mism, utopia, the com­pu­ta­tional power of the brain, meta-ethics, illu­sion­ism and meditation

Gus Docker27 Jul 2021 13:18 UTC
33 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

New Global Pri­ori­ties In­sti­tute work­ing pa­pers—and an up­dated ver­sion of “The case for strong longter­mism”

Global Priorities Institute9 Aug 2021 16:57 UTC
46 points
0 comments2 min readEA link

Some longter­mist fiction

Louis_Dixon10 Aug 2021 10:59 UTC
28 points
15 comments1 min readEA link

Fore­sight for Govern­ments: Sin­ga­pore’s Long-ter­mist Policy Tools & Les­sons

nym14 Aug 2021 12:29 UTC
43 points
1 comment11 min readEA link

What we learned from a year in­cu­bat­ing longter­mist entrepreneurship

Rebecca Kagan30 Aug 2021 8:39 UTC
175 points
27 comments18 min readEA link

The scope of longtermism

Global Priorities Institute31 May 2021 13:25 UTC
3 points
0 comments2 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

Eco­nomic in­equal­ity and the long-term future

Global Priorities Institute30 Apr 2021 13:26 UTC
3 points
0 comments4 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

Tough enough? Ro­bust satis­fic­ing as a de­ci­sion norm for long-term policy analysis

Global Priorities Institute31 Oct 2020 13:28 UTC
3 points
0 comments3 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

Non-ad­di­tive ax­iolo­gies in large worlds

Global Priorities Institute31 Aug 2020 13:30 UTC
3 points
0 comments7 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

In­ter­gen­er­a­tional equity un­der catas­trophic cli­mate change

Global Priorities Institute31 Oct 2017 13:33 UTC
3 points
0 comments4 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

Heuris­tics for clue­less agents: how to get away with ig­nor­ing what mat­ters most in or­di­nary de­ci­sion-making

Global Priorities Institute31 May 2020 13:35 UTC
3 points
0 comments3 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

[Link post] Sam Scheffler: Con­ser­vatism, Tem­po­ral Bias, and Fu­ture Generations

peterhartree19 Sep 2021 8:44 UTC
44 points
3 comments24 min readEA link

Stak­ing our fu­ture: de­on­tic longter­mism and the non-iden­tity problem

Global Priorities Institute31 Aug 2019 13:38 UTC
3 points
0 comments4 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

The Epistemic Challenge to Longtermism

Global Priorities Institute30 Apr 2020 13:38 UTC
5 points
0 comments7 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

‘The only eth­i­cal ar­gu­ment for pos­i­tive δ’?

Global Priorities Institute30 Sep 2019 13:40 UTC
3 points
0 comments2 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

Ma­jor UN re­port dis­cusses ex­is­ten­tial risk and fu­ture gen­er­a­tions (sum­mary)

finm17 Sep 2021 15:51 UTC
290 points
5 comments12 min readEA link

Holden Karnofsky on the most im­por­tant century

80000_Hours19 Aug 2021 15:17 UTC
6 points
1 comment117 min readEA link

Dooms­day rings twice

Global Priorities Institute31 Aug 2019 13:54 UTC
3 points
0 comments2 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

Holden Karnofsky on build­ing ap­ti­tudes and kick­ing ass

80000_Hours23 Sep 2021 16:55 UTC
10 points
0 comments137 min readEA link

Seek­ing so­cial sci­ence stu­dents /​ col­lab­o­ra­tors in­ter­ested in AI ex­is­ten­tial risks

Vael Gates24 Sep 2021 21:56 UTC
54 points
7 comments3 min readEA link

Key char­ac­ter­is­tics for eval­u­at­ing fu­ture global gov­er­nance institutions

jgil4 Oct 2021 19:44 UTC
21 points
0 comments12 min readEA link

Carl Shul­man on the com­mon-sense case for ex­is­ten­tial risk work and its prac­ti­cal implications

80000_Hours8 Oct 2021 13:43 UTC
41 points
2 comments149 min readEA link

New Work­ing Paper Series of the Le­gal Pri­ori­ties Project

Legal Priorities Project18 Oct 2021 10:30 UTC
55 points
0 comments9 min readEA link

An­nounc­ing the Pa­tient Philan­thropy Fund

SjirH27 Oct 2021 15:44 UTC
127 points
7 comments1 min readEA link

The Toba Su­per­vol­canic Eruption

Jackson Wagner29 Oct 2021 17:02 UTC
30 points
2 comments6 min readEA link

Cul­tural and In­sti­tu­tional Change are Needed, Over the Long Run

DestinieAShira30 Oct 2021 18:57 UTC
1 point
0 comments6 min readEA link
(shiradest.wordpress.com)

The case for long-term cor­po­rate gov­er­nance of AI

SethBaum3 Nov 2021 10:50 UTC
36 points
3 comments7 min readEA link

HIRING: In­form and shape a new pro­ject on AI safety at Part­ner­ship on AI

Madhulika Srikumar24 Nov 2021 16:29 UTC
11 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

Read­ing Group: The Good Ancestor

Alex_Berezhnoy1 Dec 2021 12:02 UTC
2 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

A Gen­tle In­tro­duc­tion to Long-Term Thinking

Jack Cunningham8 Dec 2021 3:21 UTC
4 points
0 comments11 min readEA link

What are the best (brief) re­sources to in­tro­duce EA & longter­mism?

Akash19 Dec 2021 21:16 UTC
5 points
4 comments1 min readEA link

Field-spe­cific LE (Longterm En­trepreneur­ship)

Jonas Hallgren22 Dec 2021 22:58 UTC
28 points
4 comments3 min readEA link

Con­ver­gence the­sis be­tween longter­mism and neartermism

weeatquince30 Dec 2021 16:03 UTC
98 points
31 comments9 min readEA link