[Question] Resources on the expected value of founding a for-profit start-up?

[Matt Putz]

I want to write a post about this. So I’d be interested to read any existing work, especially anything quantitative*. I’m also interested in work from non-EAs, especially economists (but also anyone else who you think is relevant).

So far I’m aware of

• Ben Kuhn’s write-up about Wave

• Brian Tomasik’s analysis about founding a start-up to do earning-to-give

• a couple of posts by 80,000 hours (1,2,3)

• Nordhaus’s 2004 paper estimating that innovators capture about 2.2 percent of the social value they create

• (Paul Graham essays)

(Most of these I haven’t read yet, but plan to do so soon.)

Thanks in advance for any pointers!

*not because I dismiss qualitative things, but because I have already listened to many founder interviews etc.