Hi Jason, thank you for giving a quick response. Both points are very reasonable.
The contest announcement post outlined “several ways an essay could substantively inform the thinking of a panelist”, namely, changing the central estimate or shape of the probability distribution of AGI / AGI catastrophe, or clarifying a concept or identifying a crux.
It would be very interesting to hear if any of the submissions did change any of the panelists’ (or other Open Phil employees’) mind in these ways, and how so. If not, whether because you learned an unanticipated kind of a thing, or because the contest turned out to be less useful than you initially hoped, I think that might also be very valuable for the community to know.
Hi Jason, thank you for giving a quick response. Both points are very reasonable.
The contest announcement post outlined “several ways an essay could substantively inform the thinking of a panelist”, namely, changing the central estimate or shape of the probability distribution of AGI / AGI catastrophe, or clarifying a concept or identifying a crux.
It would be very interesting to hear if any of the submissions did change any of the panelists’ (or other Open Phil employees’) mind in these ways, and how so. If not, whether because you learned an unanticipated kind of a thing, or because the contest turned out to be less useful than you initially hoped, I think that might also be very valuable for the community to know.
Thanks!